Below are the 10 players with the lowest expected goals (xG) in the Premier League so far this season.

1. Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Everton): -6,1

Expected goals: 11.1

Actual goals: 5

The Everton striker finally had a goal after 23 games without scoring a goal, he scored a high header to double the gap for Everton in the match against Liverpool that just took place.

2. Darwin Nunez (Liverpool): -4,0

Expected goals: 15.0

Actual goals:  11

Nunez had five shots off target against Manchester United , a tally that pretty much sums up the striker’s season. No one in the Premier League has taken more shots than Nunez, and no one in the Premier League has missed more chances than the Uruguayan striker.

Nunez is playing unsuccessfully for Liverpool.

3. Nicolas Jackson (Chelsea): -3,9

Expected goals: 13.9

Actual goals: 11

The Senegalese player has not proven much this season. However, he still has a 50% shot on target rate, which has helped Jackson become one of the strikers with the highest shot on target rate in the Premier League .

4. Beto (Everton): -3,8

Expected goals: 6.8

Actual goals: 3

The Portuguese player took 5 shots in the match against Chelsea, but no goals were scored. Everton really needs to bring in a player who can score goals in the upcoming summer market.

 

5. Erling Haaland ( Manchester City ): -3.6

Expected goals: 23.6

Actual goals: 20

The Norwegian player is the Premier League’s top scorer. The Citizens striker took 4 shots in the match against Arsenal, but none of them hit the target. Low scoring performance caused Haaland to receive harsh criticism from Roy Keane.

6. Julian Alvarez (Manchester City): -3,3

Expected goals: 11.3

Actual goals: 8

The World Cup champion is still playing a supporting role for Erling Haaland at  Etihad Stadium . The Argentine has not scored a goal in the Premier League since the last day of January this year.

Alvarez still plays well every time he is given the opportunity.

7. Enzo Fernández (Chelsea): -3.1

Expected goals: 6.1

Actual goals: 3

The Argentine midfielder still plays a full role in the midfield, but he has not yet contributed much to scoring goals for the Blues. He has not yet proven to be worth the £100 million that Chelsea spent.

8. Brennan Johnson (Tottenham): -2,8

Expected goals: 7.8

Actual goals: 5

The Wales international has made some notable contributions for Spurs as the season enters its winding down period. This striker also missed some good opportunities, causing him to have a lower actual number of goals than expected.

9. Luis Diaz (Liverpool): -2.6

Expected goals: 10.6

Actual goals: 8

The Colombian winger only scored 10% of the total number of shots he took. This means that Luis Diaz has launched many inaccurate shots.

10. Keane Lewis-Potter (Brentford): -2,6

Expected goals: 4.6

Actual goals: 2

 

The former Hull City player has not scored any goals in 2024. He has yet to demonstrate the role of a big player in the Bees’ shirt.